← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+7.49vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University2.33+4.45vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University2.50+2.90vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University1.63+5.28vs Predicted
-
5Bowdoin College1.76+3.57vs Predicted
-
6Salve Regina University1.82+2.67vs Predicted
-
7Boston College1.67+2.11vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College2.03-0.50vs Predicted
-
9University of Vermont1.77-0.09vs Predicted
-
10Harvard University1.83-1.68vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University2.20-3.76vs Predicted
-
12Bates College0.28+1.66vs Predicted
-
13Dartmouth College1.69-3.94vs Predicted
-
14Boston University1.98-5.97vs Predicted
-
15Boston College0.43-1.74vs Predicted
-
16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.19-1.13vs Predicted
-
17Tufts University2.61-11.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
-
6.45Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
-
5.9Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
-
9.28Northeastern University1.630.0%1st Place
-
8.57Bowdoin College1.760.1%1st Place
-
8.67Salve Regina University1.820.1%1st Place
-
9.11Boston College1.670.0%1st Place
-
7.5Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
-
8.91University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
-
8.32Harvard University1.830.1%1st Place
-
7.24Tufts University2.200.1%1st Place
-
13.66Bates College0.280.0%1st Place
-
9.06Dartmouth College1.690.0%1st Place
-
8.03Boston University1.980.1%1st Place
-
13.26Boston College0.430.0%1st Place
-
14.87Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.190.0%1st Place
-
5.67Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caelan Juckniess | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| John Walton | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Wood | 11.7% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.0% |
| Rowan Byrne | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Grace Vincens | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Declan McGranahan | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Ellie Maus | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Francis Doyle | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Christopher Keller | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Jack Valentino | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 13.0% | 22.9% | 24.7% |
| Michael Tellini | 4.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Charles Honke | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Laura Ferraris | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 15.4% | 20.4% | 20.2% |
| Tucker Braun | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 20.1% | 44.6% |
| Charlie Hibben | 11.6% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.