Race 11B

nicholas-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Cameron Wood 12.2% 11.6% 11.1% 10.1% 9.6% 9.2% 7.0% 6.6% 5.9% 5.7% 3.5% 3.5% 1.9% 1.0% 0.9% 0.2%
Caelan Juckniess 4.9% 6.8% 6.5% 6.5% 7.0% 6.9% 5.7% 7.3% 6.4% 6.8% 7.9% 8.6% 7.2% 6.7% 3.2% 1.6%
John Walton 10.3% 8.7% 9.1% 9.6% 9.6% 7.9% 7.8% 7.9% 9.7% 5.9% 4.0% 4.4% 1.9% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3%
Rowan Byrne 4.0% 6.4% 6.8% 5.8% 5.8% 6.8% 5.9% 6.8% 6.5% 8.0% 8.2% 7.0% 9.0% 8.1% 4.0% 0.9%
Michael Tellini 4.7% 5.5% 5.1% 5.1% 6.6% 6.3% 7.9% 6.3% 7.1% 8.1% 7.9% 8.0% 9.6% 7.0% 3.4% 1.4%
Charlie Hibben 12.3% 12.9% 12.7% 9.4% 8.2% 9.5% 8.4% 6.7% 4.8% 4.8% 3.9% 2.3% 2.2% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Christopher Keller 9.7% 7.9% 7.3% 9.1% 8.3% 7.1% 7.4% 7.5% 7.2% 7.6% 6.8% 5.4% 4.8% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
Ellie Maus 7.9% 8.3% 7.1% 8.1% 7.0% 8.1% 8.5% 6.6% 7.7% 7.6% 5.8% 7.1% 4.6% 3.6% 1.8% 0.2%
Charles Honke 6.8% 7.4% 7.3% 7.5% 7.4% 7.5% 7.9% 7.7% 6.8% 7.9% 6.1% 7.2% 4.9% 4.3% 2.6% 0.7%
Grace Vincens 5.3% 5.7% 6.0% 6.6% 6.4% 6.0% 7.3% 7.6% 8.2% 8.3% 8.0% 8.5% 6.5% 5.5% 3.0% 1.1%
Declan McGranahan 5.7% 5.7% 5.5% 5.3% 5.2% 5.8% 6.6% 7.8% 6.8% 6.1% 8.0% 8.9% 8.8% 7.9% 5.0% 0.9%
Francis Doyle 6.5% 5.9% 5.7% 7.9% 6.9% 6.9% 7.8% 5.3% 6.1% 7.1% 7.6% 8.0% 7.3% 6.0% 3.7% 1.3%
Jack Valentino 1.4% 0.9% 1.3% 1.2% 1.8% 2.3% 1.7% 3.0% 3.5% 3.3% 5.5% 4.8% 7.2% 13.3% 23.1% 25.7%
Laura Ferraris 1.8% 1.2% 1.6% 1.7% 1.8% 2.3% 2.0% 3.7% 3.0% 4.4% 5.8% 5.7% 9.7% 14.3% 22.1% 18.9%
Vincent Yannelli 6.2% 3.8% 5.8% 5.5% 7.6% 7.1% 6.5% 7.2% 7.7% 6.9% 7.8% 7.8% 8.9% 6.7% 3.4% 1.1%
Tucker Braun 0.3% 1.3% 1.1% 0.6% 0.8% 0.3% 1.6% 2.0% 2.6% 1.5% 3.2% 2.8% 5.5% 9.4% 21.6% 45.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.