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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.11+0.51vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.40+1.32vs Predicted
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3Washington College2.29+0.50vs Predicted
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4Clemson University1.85+0.14vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology1.64-0.56vs Predicted
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6Auburn University1.12-0.88vs Predicted
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8American University0.36-2.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.51College of Charleston4.110.6%1st Place
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3.32College of Charleston2.400.1%1st Place
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3.5Washington College2.290.1%1st Place
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4.14Clemson University1.850.1%1st Place
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4.44Georgia Institute of Technology1.640.0%1st Place
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5.12Auburn University1.120.0%1st Place
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5.97American University0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Banholzer | 64.0% | 24.7% | 8.1% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Carly Shevitz | 11.6% | 22.0% | 23.7% | 19.9% | 13.9% | 6.4% | 2.5% |
| Mildred Conroy | 9.0% | 22.0% | 21.0% | 20.9% | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.2% |
| Alexander Smolka | 5.5% | 13.1% | 18.0% | 18.7% | 20.8% | 17.6% | 6.3% |
| Andrew Battigaglia | 4.7% | 10.1% | 15.4% | 17.9% | 20.6% | 21.0% | 10.3% |
| Samuel Hodges | 3.3% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 19.0% | 27.7% | 22.7% |
| Bryan Schapperle | 1.9% | 2.2% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 19.0% | 55.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.