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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.69+4.46vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.36+4.52vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.99+1.70vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.90+4.22vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.36+1.62vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.02-1.28vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.12+0.47vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.75+0.50vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.12+1.64vs Predicted
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10McGill University0.52+2.51vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.30-0.92vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.89-6.99vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.99-1.96vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.52-4.72vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.65-2.77vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.35-3.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.46Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.52University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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4.7Dartmouth College2.990.2%1st Place
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8.22University of Vermont1.900.0%1st Place
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6.62Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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4.72Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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7.47Boston University2.120.1%1st Place
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8.5Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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10.64Yale University1.120.0%1st Place
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12.51McGill University0.520.0%1st Place
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10.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.300.0%1st Place
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5.01Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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11.04Tufts University0.990.0%1st Place
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9.28Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
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12.23Northeastern University0.650.0%1st Place
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13.0Connecticut College0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Kaneti | 11.5% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Emma White | 15.5% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Marston | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Sophie Hibben | 14.6% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Mooradian | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Kelsey Slack | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Emery Wallace | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 7.4% |
| Adele DesBrisay | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 13.9% | 17.4% | 23.3% |
| Meredith Julian | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 4.7% |
| Olivia Belda | 13.2% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elena Gonick | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 9.7% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Erin Coyne | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 14.7% | 16.8% | 19.2% |
| Alexandra Wagner | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 18.2% | 30.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.