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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.36+5.49vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.36+4.54vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.12+4.38vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.89+1.04vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.65+7.21vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.75+2.69vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.99-2.24vs Predicted
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8Yale University1.12+2.58vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.35+3.83vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.02-5.36vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.30-0.86vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.99-0.88vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.69-7.51vs Predicted
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14McGill University0.52-1.61vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.90-6.75vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.52-6.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.49University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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6.54Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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7.38Boston University2.120.1%1st Place
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5.04Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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12.21Northeastern University0.650.0%1st Place
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8.69Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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4.76Dartmouth College2.990.2%1st Place
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10.58Yale University1.120.0%1st Place
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12.83Connecticut College0.350.0%1st Place
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4.64Brown University3.020.2%1st Place
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10.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.300.0%1st Place
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11.12Tufts University0.990.0%1st Place
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5.49Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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12.39McGill University0.520.0%1st Place
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8.25University of Vermont1.900.1%1st Place
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9.45Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaney Bamford | 7.0% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 7.5% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Grace Mooradian | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Olivia Belda | 13.9% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Coyne | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 16.5% | 19.6% |
| Kelsey Slack | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 1.5% |
| Emma White | 16.2% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emery Wallace | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.0% |
| Alexandra Wagner | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 17.7% | 27.6% |
| Sophie Hibben | 15.1% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Julian | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 7.6% | 5.4% |
| Elena Gonick | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 11.6% |
| Emma Kaneti | 10.9% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adele DesBrisay | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 16.7% | 22.2% |
| Emma Marston | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.