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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.02+3.46vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.36+4.42vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.12+4.26vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.69+1.59vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.99-0.34vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.36+0.57vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.90+1.03vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.75+0.40vs Predicted
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9Yale University0.55+3.21vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.30+0.04vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.52-1.74vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.89-7.06vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.99-2.08vs Predicted
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14McGill University0.52-1.70vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.65-2.93vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.35-3.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.46Brown University3.020.2%1st Place
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6.42University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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7.26Boston University2.120.1%1st Place
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5.59Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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4.66Dartmouth College2.990.2%1st Place
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6.57Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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8.03University of Vermont1.900.1%1st Place
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8.4Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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12.21Yale University0.550.0%1st Place
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10.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.300.0%1st Place
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9.26Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
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4.94Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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10.92Tufts University0.990.0%1st Place
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12.3McGill University0.520.0%1st Place
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12.07Northeastern University0.650.0%1st Place
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12.87Connecticut College0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Hibben | 16.5% | 14.2% | 15.1% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Grace Mooradian | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Emma Kaneti | 10.4% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma White | 15.1% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Emma Marston | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Kelsey Slack | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Sonia Lingos-Utley | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 17.0% | 19.4% |
| Meredith Julian | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 2.0% |
| Olivia Belda | 13.6% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elena Gonick | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 9.1% |
| Adele DesBrisay | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 16.6% | 19.4% |
| Erin Coyne | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 17.2% | 17.2% |
| Alexandra Wagner | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 19.2% | 25.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.