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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.36+5.41vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.36+4.49vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.12+4.26vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.99+0.71vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.89-0.12vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.90+2.08vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.69-1.42vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.52+1.19vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.99+1.90vs Predicted
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10McGill University0.52+2.43vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.02-6.44vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.75-3.56vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.65-1.00vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.30-4.13vs Predicted
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15Yale University0.55-2.66vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.35-3.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.41Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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6.49University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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7.26Boston University2.120.1%1st Place
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4.71Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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4.88Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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8.08University of Vermont1.900.0%1st Place
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5.58Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.19Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
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10.9Tufts University0.990.0%1st Place
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12.43McGill University0.520.0%1st Place
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4.56Brown University3.020.2%1st Place
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8.44Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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12.0Northeastern University0.650.0%1st Place
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9.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.300.0%1st Place
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12.34Yale University0.550.0%1st Place
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12.87Connecticut College0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Shakin | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Delaney Bamford | 7.6% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Grace Mooradian | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Emma White | 14.3% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Belda | 13.8% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Marston | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Emma Kaneti | 11.2% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
| Elena Gonick | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 8.3% |
| Adele DesBrisay | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 15.2% | 18.0% | 20.1% |
| Sophie Hibben | 16.2% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Slack | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Erin Coyne | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 15.7% | 16.1% |
| Meredith Julian | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 3.9% |
| Sonia Lingos-Utley | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 18.9% | 18.3% |
| Alexandra Wagner | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 15.8% | 27.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.