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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.08+8.35vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.79+4.99vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.14+6.29vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.13+2.08vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.18+4.20vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.76+1.28vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.49-2.10vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.28-2.73vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.14+0.24vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.15-4.03vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.79-3.89vs Predicted
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12Harvard University1.61-4.32vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.34-4.39vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.83-3.76vs Predicted
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15McGill University-0.64-0.93vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College-1.04-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.35Brown University1.080.0%1st Place
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6.99Boston University1.790.1%1st Place
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9.29Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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6.08University of Vermont2.130.1%1st Place
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9.2Yale University1.180.0%1st Place
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7.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
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4.9Dartmouth College2.490.2%1st Place
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5.27Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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9.24Tufts University1.140.0%1st Place
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5.97University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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7.11Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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7.68Harvard University1.610.1%1st Place
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8.61Roger Williams University1.340.0%1st Place
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10.24Northeastern University0.830.0%1st Place
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14.07McGill University-0.640.0%1st Place
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14.71Connecticut College-1.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Rolfes | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 6.5% | 1.2% |
| Allison Cahn | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 5.0% | 1.4% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Anisha Arcot | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| Lulu Russell | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Hall | 15.1% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 13.1% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lera Anders | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 1.3% |
| Rebecca Read | 11.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Leyla Senocak | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Kerner | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Madeline Pope | 4.7% | 3.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 0.5% |
| Adeline Schoen | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 16.8% | 9.6% | 2.4% |
| Kathryn McCracken | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 33.7% | 35.7% |
| Norah Deming | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 7.0% | 21.7% | 56.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.