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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.49+3.74vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.79+4.98vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.76+4.19vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.34+4.80vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.61+2.70vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.14+3.31vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.15-1.02vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.08+1.44vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.18+0.12vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.14-0.63vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.79-3.91vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.13-6.01vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.28-7.64vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.83-3.78vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College-1.04-0.35vs Predicted
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16McGill University-0.64-1.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.74Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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6.98Boston University1.790.1%1st Place
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7.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
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8.8Roger Williams University1.340.0%1st Place
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7.7Harvard University1.610.1%1st Place
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9.31Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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5.98University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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9.44Brown University1.080.0%1st Place
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9.12Yale University1.180.0%1st Place
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9.37Tufts University1.140.0%1st Place
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7.09Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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5.99University of Vermont2.130.1%1st Place
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5.36Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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10.22Northeastern University0.830.0%1st Place
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14.65Connecticut College-1.040.0%1st Place
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14.06McGill University-0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kathryn Hall | 15.0% | 15.2% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Allison Cahn | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Lulu Russell | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Pope | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 0.5% |
| Catherine Kerner | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 6.0% | 1.5% |
| Rebecca Read | 11.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Rolfes | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 6.3% | 1.3% |
| Anisha Arcot | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 5.6% | 1.4% |
| Lera Anders | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 5.1% | 0.9% |
| Leyla Senocak | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 11.9% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adeline Schoen | 3.2% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 12.9% | 14.4% | 9.4% | 2.7% |
| Norah Deming | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 6.5% | 21.9% | 57.0% |
| Kathryn McCracken | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 10.3% | 33.1% | 34.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.