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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University1.61+6.76vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.49+3.04vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+1.64vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.79+3.44vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.79+2.32vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.15+0.22vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.18+2.37vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.14+1.33vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.34-0.26vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.28-4.29vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.14-1.61vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.83-1.53vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.08-3.39vs Predicted
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14McGill University-0.64+0.02vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.13-8.81vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College-1.04-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.76Harvard University1.610.0%1st Place
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5.04Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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4.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.2%1st Place
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7.44Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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7.32Boston University1.790.1%1st Place
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6.22University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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9.37Yale University1.180.0%1st Place
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9.33Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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8.74Roger Williams University1.340.0%1st Place
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5.71Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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9.39Tufts University1.140.0%1st Place
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10.47Northeastern University0.830.0%1st Place
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9.61Brown University1.080.0%1st Place
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14.02McGill University-0.640.0%1st Place
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6.19University of Vermont2.130.1%1st Place
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14.74Connecticut College-1.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Catherine Kerner | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Kathryn Hall | 13.4% | 15.5% | 12.3% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dana Haig | 16.3% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Leyla Senocak | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Allison Cahn | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Rebecca Read | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Anisha Arcot | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 6.2% | 1.0% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Madeline Pope | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 11.0% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lera Anders | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 5.5% | 1.6% |
| Adeline Schoen | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 11.2% | 3.5% |
| Elizabeth Rolfes | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 1.7% |
| Kathryn McCracken | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 11.5% | 32.2% | 33.9% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Norah Deming | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 7.6% | 23.1% | 55.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.