← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71+6.69vs Predicted
-
2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.85+9.27vs Predicted
-
3Cornell University1.53+9.56vs Predicted
-
4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+3.70vs Predicted
-
5Cornell University2.20+4.48vs Predicted
-
6Cornell University2.27+3.28vs Predicted
-
7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71+0.53vs Predicted
-
8Cornell University3.14-2.23vs Predicted
-
9Cornell University2.43-0.37vs Predicted
-
10Cornell University1.87+1.20vs Predicted
-
11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17-5.07vs Predicted
-
12Cornell University2.11-1.68vs Predicted
-
13Queen's University1.19+0.36vs Predicted
-
14Queen's University1.89-3.45vs Predicted
-
15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.79-3.81vs Predicted
-
16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-6.88vs Predicted
-
17Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-11.05vs Predicted
-
18Cornell University1.15-4.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
-
11.27Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.850.0%1st Place
-
12.56Cornell University1.530.0%1st Place
-
7.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
-
9.48Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
-
9.28Cornell University2.270.0%1st Place
-
7.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
-
5.77Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
-
8.63Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
-
11.2Cornell University1.870.0%1st Place
-
5.93Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.1%1st Place
-
10.32Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
-
13.36Queen's University1.190.0%1st Place
-
10.55Queen's University1.890.0%1st Place
-
11.19Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.790.0%1st Place
-
9.12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
-
5.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
-
13.47Cornell University1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Munger | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Ella Withington | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% |
| Sajan Alagiri | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 12.8% |
| Bailey Carter | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 2.3% |
| Gerard Eastman | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Charles Carraway | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Clark Uhl | 11.1% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Phillip Schofield | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Ethan Andersen | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.9% |
| Kyle Easton | 12.7% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sebby Turner | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.6% |
| Cameron Wallace | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 22.7% |
| Scott Gittens | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% |
| Blake Stackpoole | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.4% |
| Katherine Cox | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Jake Vickers | 12.5% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Alex Fowkes | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 22.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.