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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+7.07vs Predicted
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2Cornell University3.14+4.01vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.43+5.91vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.27+5.19vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17+0.74vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+3.01vs Predicted
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7Queen's University1.19+6.48vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.20+1.53vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.85+2.02vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71-2.23vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.15+2.75vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-5.80vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.87-2.21vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.53-1.98vs Predicted
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15Queen's University1.89-4.14vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71-8.52vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.79-5.61vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.11-8.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.07Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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6.01Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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8.91Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
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9.19Cornell University2.270.0%1st Place
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5.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.1%1st Place
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9.01Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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13.48Queen's University1.190.0%1st Place
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9.53Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
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11.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.850.0%1st Place
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7.77Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
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13.75Cornell University1.150.0%1st Place
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6.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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10.79Cornell University1.870.0%1st Place
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12.02Cornell University1.530.0%1st Place
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10.86Queen's University1.890.0%1st Place
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7.48Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
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11.39Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.790.0%1st Place
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9.79Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Carter | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Clark Uhl | 10.4% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Phillip Schofield | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Gerard Eastman | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Kyle Easton | 12.3% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 5.7% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% |
| Cameron Wallace | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 15.8% | 21.9% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| Ella Withington | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% |
| Michael Munger | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Alex Fowkes | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 26.7% |
| Jake Vickers | 10.5% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Andersen | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 4.7% |
| Sajan Alagiri | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 11.9% |
| Scott Gittens | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% |
| Charles Carraway | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Blake Stackpoole | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% |
| Sebby Turner | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.