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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University3.14+5.08vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.53+10.60vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17+2.87vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.43+4.54vs Predicted
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5Queen's University1.89+5.72vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.85+5.07vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.87+3.95vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.11+1.93vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-1.32vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71-2.28vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-4.98vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.20-2.01vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-4.11vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71-6.78vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.79-3.80vs Predicted
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16Queen's University1.19-2.37vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.15-3.21vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.27-8.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.08Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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12.6Cornell University1.530.0%1st Place
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5.87Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.1%1st Place
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8.54Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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10.72Queen's University1.890.0%1st Place
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11.07Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.850.0%1st Place
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10.95Cornell University1.870.0%1st Place
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9.93Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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7.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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7.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
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6.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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9.99Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
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8.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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7.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
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11.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.790.0%1st Place
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13.63Queen's University1.190.0%1st Place
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13.79Cornell University1.150.0%1st Place
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9.11Cornell University2.270.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clark Uhl | 11.1% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Sajan Alagiri | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 12.8% |
| Kyle Easton | 11.3% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Phillip Schofield | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Scott Gittens | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.1% |
| Ella Withington | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% |
| Ethan Andersen | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% |
| Sebby Turner | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| Bailey Carter | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Michael Munger | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Jake Vickers | 11.3% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% |
| Katherine Cox | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Charles Carraway | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Blake Stackpoole | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 6.5% |
| Cameron Wallace | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 23.6% |
| Alex Fowkes | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 15.5% | 25.3% |
| Gerard Eastman | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.