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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.53+11.38vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.87+9.26vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.20+6.81vs Predicted
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4Cornell University3.14+1.81vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.79+6.04vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.85+5.05vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17-1.17vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-2.13vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.27+0.31vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.43-1.16vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-3.01vs Predicted
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12Queen's University1.89-0.77vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.11-3.23vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71-6.80vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71-7.59vs Predicted
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16Cornell University1.15-2.30vs Predicted
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17Queen's University1.19-3.37vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-9.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.38Cornell University1.530.0%1st Place
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11.26Cornell University1.870.0%1st Place
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9.81Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
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5.81Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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11.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.790.0%1st Place
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11.05Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.850.0%1st Place
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5.83Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.1%1st Place
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5.87Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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9.31Cornell University2.270.0%1st Place
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8.84Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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7.99Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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11.23Queen's University1.890.0%1st Place
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9.77Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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7.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
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7.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
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13.7Cornell University1.150.0%1st Place
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13.63Queen's University1.190.0%1st Place
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8.86Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sajan Alagiri | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 13.0% |
| Ethan Andersen | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 5.8% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
| Clark Uhl | 12.5% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Blake Stackpoole | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 6.7% |
| Ella Withington | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% |
| Kyle Easton | 12.0% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jake Vickers | 12.1% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Gerard Eastman | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| Phillip Schofield | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Scott Gittens | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% |
| Sebby Turner | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| Charles Carraway | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Michael Munger | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Alex Fowkes | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 14.1% | 25.0% |
| Cameron Wallace | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 15.0% | 24.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.