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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.38+7.13vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+6.87vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.81+3.36vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.30+4.22vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.63+5.98vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.39+1.95vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.53+0.32vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+1.67vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.25-0.59vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.69-3.04vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.88-0.79vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.35+0.59vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.14-0.12vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-5.91vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.89-5.05vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.68-5.01vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University2.82-6.57vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-5.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.13Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.87St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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6.36Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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8.22U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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10.98George Washington University2.630.0%1st Place
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7.95Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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7.32Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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9.67St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.0%1st Place
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8.41U. S. Naval Academy3.250.1%1st Place
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6.96Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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10.21U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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12.59George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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12.88Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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8.09St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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9.95Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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10.99George Washington University2.680.0%1st Place
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10.43Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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12.99St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Reiter | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Leo Boucher | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Sean Segerblom | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Parker Loftus | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% |
| Cameron Feves | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% |
| William Logue | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Andy Reiter | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Lewis Cooper | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% |
| Connor Bayless | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| JC Hermus | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Maxwell Brill | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 17.0% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 20.9% |
| Liam McCarthy | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Jack Elkin | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.1% |
| Matt Logue | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% |
| Jessica Bennett | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 14.5% | 18.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.