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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.81+5.43vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.25+6.68vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.30+5.51vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+4.21vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.35+7.06vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.39+1.91vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+2.79vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.69-1.35vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.68+1.93vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.88+0.36vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University3.53-3.51vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-3.00vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.14-0.13vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University3.38-6.35vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.63-3.93vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.89-6.01vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-3.72vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University2.82-7.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.43Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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8.68U. S. Naval Academy3.250.1%1st Place
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8.51U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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8.21St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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12.06George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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7.91Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.79St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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6.65Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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10.93George Washington University2.680.0%1st Place
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10.36U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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7.49Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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9.0St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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12.87Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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7.65Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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11.07George Washington University2.630.0%1st Place
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9.99Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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13.28St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
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10.1Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Segerblom | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Connor Bayless | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Parker Loftus | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Liam McCarthy | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 15.5% |
| William Logue | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Lewis Cooper | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% |
| JC Hermus | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Matt Logue | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% |
| Maxwell Brill | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 4.8% |
| Andy Reiter | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Leo Boucher | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 20.2% |
| Jack Reiter | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Cameron Feves | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 7.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.3% |
| Jessica Bennett | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 14.9% | 23.1% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.