Race 5A

veitor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Ben Greenfield 14.4% 15.2% 16.3% 10.3% 10.4% 9.9% 7.4% 4.9% 3.4% 3.5% 2.5% 1.1% 0.7% 0.0%
Christian Manchester 11.6% 12.1% 11.6% 12.0% 10.9% 10.5% 8.7% 8.3% 5.1% 4.1% 2.3% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3%
Quentin Chafee 5.3% 6.2% 6.7% 8.3% 8.2% 5.1% 9.6% 9.4% 9.8% 8.6% 8.0% 7.1% 5.1% 2.6%
Peter Giuliano 2.7% 3.4% 4.9% 5.3% 5.7% 6.2% 6.4% 6.5% 8.7% 7.5% 11.2% 10.8% 10.8% 9.9%
Samuel Ingham 23.9% 21.9% 15.9% 12.7% 8.4% 7.5% 4.3% 2.6% 1.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Schon 6.5% 6.9% 7.0% 7.9% 10.6% 9.0% 8.5% 9.4% 8.8% 6.7% 7.5% 4.8% 5.0% 1.4%
Christopher Poole 4.3% 4.9% 5.9% 7.5% 5.3% 5.9% 8.6% 8.8% 9.6% 8.4% 8.6% 8.8% 8.3% 5.1%
Elizabeth Barry 11.8% 12.1% 10.2% 11.5% 10.5% 10.3% 7.9% 7.4% 5.1% 5.8% 3.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.3%
Conor Lodge 5.1% 3.2% 4.6% 5.5% 5.6% 6.5% 8.0% 8.8% 11.1% 9.7% 8.9% 9.2% 8.4% 5.4%
Will Pelleteri 3.1% 2.7% 3.6% 4.3% 6.3% 7.1% 6.6% 7.4% 7.9% 9.5% 10.0% 10.0% 11.4% 10.1%
Billy Hines 3.0% 2.0% 2.8% 3.0% 4.1% 5.5% 6.3% 6.5% 7.3% 8.1% 9.4% 12.9% 12.6% 16.5%
Andrew Kurzrok 3.7% 4.1% 4.3% 5.3% 6.6% 7.7% 7.2% 8.7% 9.0% 10.5% 8.7% 7.8% 8.5% 7.9%
Graham Philpot 2.0% 1.8% 2.1% 2.4% 2.3% 3.6% 3.8% 4.4% 5.7% 7.4% 8.1% 10.3% 15.6% 30.5%
Reeve Dunne 2.6% 3.5% 4.1% 4.0% 5.1% 5.2% 6.7% 6.9% 7.0% 9.5% 10.5% 12.9% 12.0% 10.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.