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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Nick Myneni 68.4% 23.1% 6.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jillian Giordano 3.7% 8.1% 11.3% 12.2% 15.2% 14.1% 13.9% 11.2% 8.1% 2.4%
George Prokop 2.8% 6.5% 8.6% 11.3% 11.9% 14.1% 14.2% 13.6% 12.2% 4.7%
Kate Sorbie 9.0% 20.6% 20.8% 19.1% 11.6% 8.9% 6.3% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
Alex Schlotterer 1.7% 3.5% 5.1% 6.3% 7.5% 8.1% 11.9% 19.1% 23.7% 13.2%
Hannah Monville 3.5% 7.8% 12.2% 12.8% 14.9% 14.2% 13.7% 10.8% 6.9% 3.1%
Astrid Myhre 5.9% 16.8% 18.8% 16.4% 15.0% 11.5% 8.6% 5.0% 1.7% 0.5%
Leo Barch 1.7% 4.9% 6.0% 7.8% 8.1% 11.7% 12.8% 16.6% 20.8% 9.7%
Nathaniel Bacheller 3.0% 7.6% 9.2% 10.5% 12.1% 13.5% 13.6% 13.4% 12.6% 4.5%
Adam Bryan 0.4% 1.1% 1.8% 1.7% 3.2% 3.8% 5.1% 7.8% 13.4% 61.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.