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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.11+0.53vs Predicted
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2Washington College2.29+1.44vs Predicted
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3Georgia Institute of Technology1.64+1.46vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.40-0.65vs Predicted
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5Clemson University1.85-0.87vs Predicted
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6Auburn University1.12-0.86vs Predicted
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7American University0.36-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.53College of Charleston4.110.6%1st Place
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3.44Washington College2.290.1%1st Place
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4.46Georgia Institute of Technology1.640.1%1st Place
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3.35College of Charleston2.400.1%1st Place
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4.13Clemson University1.850.1%1st Place
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5.14Auburn University1.120.0%1st Place
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5.95American University0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Banholzer | 62.6% | 25.7% | 8.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mildred Conroy | 10.0% | 22.2% | 21.8% | 19.4% | 15.7% | 8.6% | 2.3% |
| Andrew Battigaglia | 5.6% | 9.1% | 14.0% | 17.7% | 23.3% | 19.3% | 11.0% |
| Carly Shevitz | 11.1% | 22.1% | 22.7% | 20.2% | 14.2% | 8.2% | 1.5% |
| Alexander Smolka | 5.7% | 12.9% | 18.1% | 20.5% | 18.9% | 16.2% | 7.7% |
| Samuel Hodges | 3.2% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 18.5% | 28.7% | 22.6% |
| Bryan Schapperle | 1.8% | 2.4% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 18.6% | 54.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.