← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Old Dominion University2.89+9.22vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy3.30+6.46vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+7.04vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University3.53+3.26vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University3.39+2.83vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+2.33vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Naval Academy3.25+1.48vs Predicted
-
8Georgetown University3.38-0.18vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Naval Academy2.88+1.05vs Predicted
-
10Old Dominion University2.14+3.28vs Predicted
-
11Georgetown University3.81-4.66vs Predicted
-
12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-3.02vs Predicted
-
13Georgetown University3.69-6.44vs Predicted
-
14George Washington University2.35-2.11vs Predicted
-
15George Washington University2.63-3.97vs Predicted
-
16George Washington University2.68-5.03vs Predicted
-
17Old Dominion University2.82-6.56vs Predicted
-
18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-4.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.22Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
-
8.46U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
-
10.04St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.0%1st Place
-
7.26Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
-
7.83Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
-
8.33St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
-
8.48U. S. Naval Academy3.250.1%1st Place
-
7.82Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
-
10.05U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
-
13.28Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
-
6.34Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
-
8.98St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
-
6.56Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
-
11.89George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
-
11.03George Washington University2.630.0%1st Place
-
10.97George Washington University2.680.0%1st Place
-
10.44Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
-
13.01St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Elkin | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.2% |
| Parker Loftus | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Lewis Cooper | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 3.4% |
| Andy Reiter | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| William Logue | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Liam McCarthy | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% |
| Connor Bayless | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% |
| Jack Reiter | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Maxwell Brill | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 22.9% |
| Sean Segerblom | 10.8% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Leo Boucher | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% |
| JC Hermus | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 12.9% |
| Cameron Feves | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.6% |
| Matt Logue | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.0% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.2% |
| Jessica Bennett | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 21.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.