← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+8.99vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University3.69+4.84vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University3.39+5.12vs Predicted
-
4George Washington University2.68+6.75vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University3.81+1.17vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy2.88+4.06vs Predicted
-
7Old Dominion University2.82+3.31vs Predicted
-
8Old Dominion University2.89+1.94vs Predicted
-
9Georgetown University3.38-1.12vs Predicted
-
10George Washington University2.63+1.43vs Predicted
-
11Old Dominion University2.14+2.14vs Predicted
-
12Georgetown University3.53-4.29vs Predicted
-
13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-0.04vs Predicted
-
14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-5.86vs Predicted
-
15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-6.46vs Predicted
-
16George Washington University2.35-3.69vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Naval Academy3.25-8.36vs Predicted
-
18U. S. Naval Academy3.30-9.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.99St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.0%1st Place
-
6.84Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
-
8.12Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
-
10.75George Washington University2.680.0%1st Place
-
6.17Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
-
10.06U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
-
10.31Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
-
9.94Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
-
7.88Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
-
11.43George Washington University2.630.0%1st Place
-
13.14Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
-
7.71Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
-
12.96St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
-
8.14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
-
8.54St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
-
12.31George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
-
8.64U. S. Naval Academy3.250.1%1st Place
-
8.08U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewis Cooper | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.2% |
| JC Hermus | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| William Logue | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Matt Logue | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% |
| Sean Segerblom | 11.8% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Maxwell Brill | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.6% |
| Jack Elkin | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 3.6% |
| Jack Reiter | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Cameron Feves | 4.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.3% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 22.2% |
| Andy Reiter | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% |
| Jessica Bennett | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 21.3% |
| Liam McCarthy | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Leo Boucher | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 14.6% |
| Connor Bayless | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Parker Loftus | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.