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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.30+7.32vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.53+5.42vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.39+4.94vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.88+5.73vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.38+2.76vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.69+0.54vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.89+2.88vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+1.57vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.81-2.93vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.35+2.30vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.25-2.50vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.82-1.57vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+0.79vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.68-3.60vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-6.65vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.63-5.03vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-8.66vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University1.51-3.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.32U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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7.42Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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7.94Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.73U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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7.76Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.54Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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9.88Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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9.57St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.0%1st Place
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6.07Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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12.3George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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8.5U. S. Naval Academy3.250.1%1st Place
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10.43Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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13.79St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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10.4George Washington University2.680.0%1st Place
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8.35St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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10.97George Washington University2.630.0%1st Place
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8.34St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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14.69Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Loftus | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Andy Reiter | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| William Logue | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Maxwell Brill | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% |
| Jack Reiter | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| JC Hermus | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 2.6% |
| Lewis Cooper | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Sean Segerblom | 10.6% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 11.6% |
| Connor Bayless | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 3.7% |
| Katherine Bennett | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 12.0% | 16.4% | 25.6% |
| Matt Logue | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 4.5% |
| Leo Boucher | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Cameron Feves | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 5.5% |
| Liam McCarthy | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 17.7% | 35.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.