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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.39+6.97vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.89+8.10vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.38+4.98vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.81+2.02vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.68+5.60vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.35+6.02vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+2.63vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.25+0.24vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.53-1.90vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.30-1.58vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University3.69-4.30vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-3.19vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.88-3.27vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-0.32vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.82-4.95vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-7.74vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.51-2.03vs Predicted
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18George Washington University2.63-7.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.97Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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10.1Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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7.98Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.02Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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10.6George Washington University2.680.0%1st Place
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12.02George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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9.63St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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8.24U. S. Naval Academy3.250.1%1st Place
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7.1Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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8.42U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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6.7Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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8.81St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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9.73U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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13.68St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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10.05Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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8.26St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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14.97Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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10.71George Washington University2.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Logue | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Jack Elkin | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.1% |
| Jack Reiter | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Sean Segerblom | 12.8% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Matt Logue | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 5.3% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 10.2% |
| Lewis Cooper | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| Connor Bayless | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Andy Reiter | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Parker Loftus | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| JC Hermus | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Leo Boucher | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% |
| Maxwell Brill | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 2.1% |
| Katherine Bennett | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 18.1% | 23.4% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 3.0% |
| Liam McCarthy | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 17.0% | 39.9% |
| Cameron Feves | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.