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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+13.02vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.38+5.99vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+5.80vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.25+4.19vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.89+4.75vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.69+0.60vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.53+0.22vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.39-0.27vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.81-2.94vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.35+2.28vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.68-0.11vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-3.42vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.63-2.29vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.30-6.16vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.82-4.93vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-6.33vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.51-2.11vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.88-8.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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14.02St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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7.99Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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8.19U. S. Naval Academy3.250.1%1st Place
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9.75Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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6.6Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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7.22Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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7.73Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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6.06Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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12.28George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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10.89George Washington University2.680.0%1st Place
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8.58St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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10.71George Washington University2.630.0%1st Place
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7.84U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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10.07Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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9.67St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.0%1st Place
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14.89Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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9.71U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Bennett | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 16.8% | 27.3% |
| Jack Reiter | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Leo Boucher | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Connor Bayless | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Jack Elkin | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 2.6% |
| JC Hermus | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Andy Reiter | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| William Logue | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Sean Segerblom | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 14.8% | 9.0% |
| Matt Logue | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 5.1% |
| Liam McCarthy | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Cameron Feves | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.0% |
| Parker Loftus | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 2.7% |
| Lewis Cooper | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 16.6% | 38.5% |
| Maxwell Brill | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.