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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.38+6.97vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.25+6.55vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.89+7.07vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.69+2.49vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.30+3.01vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+2.23vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.39+0.70vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+1.47vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.51+5.92vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-1.25vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University3.81-4.79vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.88-1.76vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.63-2.24vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-0.34vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.35-3.03vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.82-5.81vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University3.53-9.68vs Predicted
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18George Washington University2.68-7.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.97Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.55U. S. Naval Academy3.250.1%1st Place
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10.07Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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6.49Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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8.01U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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8.23St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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7.7Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.47St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.0%1st Place
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14.92Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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8.75St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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6.21Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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10.24U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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10.76George Washington University2.630.0%1st Place
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13.66St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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11.97George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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10.19Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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7.32Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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10.48George Washington University2.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Reiter | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Connor Bayless | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Jack Elkin | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 2.6% |
| JC Hermus | 11.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Parker Loftus | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Liam McCarthy | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| William Logue | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Lewis Cooper | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 16.4% | 39.0% |
| Leo Boucher | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Sean Segerblom | 11.1% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Maxwell Brill | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% |
| Cameron Feves | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% |
| Katherine Bennett | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 17.7% | 23.8% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 8.9% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 3.4% |
| Andy Reiter | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Matt Logue | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.