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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.94+1.56vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.39+1.42vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.27+0.54vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.22-1.69vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut-0.18+0.77vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-0.40+0.08vs Predicted
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7Wesleyan University-0.55-0.70vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.41-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.56University of Rhode Island1.940.3%1st Place
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3.42Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
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3.54Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
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2.31Brown University2.220.3%1st Place
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5.77University of Connecticut-0.180.0%1st Place
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6.08Fairfield University-0.400.0%1st Place
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6.3Wesleyan University-0.550.0%1st Place
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6.02University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Schryver | 28.5% | 25.0% | 21.4% | 15.3% | 7.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Caroline King | 14.2% | 16.8% | 22.1% | 21.5% | 14.2% | 8.1% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Evan Robison | 13.5% | 16.2% | 19.1% | 21.6% | 17.7% | 8.3% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Jed Bell | 33.9% | 27.3% | 20.6% | 12.1% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Anne Cathrine Longo | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 16.3% | 22.1% | 23.7% | 16.9% |
| Mitchell Owen | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 15.6% | 19.5% | 23.2% | 25.6% |
| Abraham Kipnis | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 16.4% | 23.8% | 33.1% |
| Griffin Brayer | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 13.9% | 22.6% | 22.9% | 23.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.