← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.22+1.17vs Predicted
-
2Wesleyan University-0.55+4.02vs Predicted
-
3Salve Regina University1.39+0.29vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University1.27-0.57vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island1.94-2.41vs Predicted
-
6Fairfield University-0.40-0.22vs Predicted
-
7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.41-1.18vs Predicted
-
8University of Connecticut-1.33-1.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.17Brown University2.220.4%1st Place
-
6.02Wesleyan University-0.550.0%1st Place
-
3.29Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
-
3.43Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
-
2.59University of Rhode Island1.940.3%1st Place
-
5.78Fairfield University-0.400.0%1st Place
-
5.82University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.410.0%1st Place
-
6.9University of Connecticut-1.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jed Bell | 39.3% | 26.5% | 18.8% | 9.9% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Kipnis | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 14.7% | 23.3% | 25.2% | 20.5% |
| Caroline King | 14.5% | 17.7% | 23.1% | 23.2% | 14.1% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Evan Robison | 12.9% | 17.0% | 20.0% | 25.2% | 16.4% | 6.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Schryver | 25.4% | 27.9% | 21.5% | 15.1% | 7.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Owen | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 19.5% | 24.4% | 24.5% | 13.7% |
| Griffin Brayer | 2.7% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 17.2% | 23.0% | 24.0% | 16.3% |
| Sarah Woodward | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 14.0% | 22.8% | 48.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.