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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.22+1.18vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.94+0.59vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.39+0.27vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.27-0.56vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University-0.40+0.81vs Predicted
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6Wesleyan University-0.55-0.02vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.41-1.15vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut-1.33-1.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.18Brown University2.220.4%1st Place
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2.59University of Rhode Island1.940.3%1st Place
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3.27Salve Regina University1.390.2%1st Place
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3.44Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
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5.81Fairfield University-0.400.0%1st Place
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5.98Wesleyan University-0.550.0%1st Place
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5.85University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.410.0%1st Place
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6.89University of Connecticut-1.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jed Bell | 37.2% | 29.4% | 17.9% | 10.3% | 4.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schryver | 25.8% | 26.4% | 22.8% | 15.2% | 7.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Caroline King | 15.4% | 17.2% | 23.6% | 22.6% | 13.3% | 5.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Evan Robison | 13.2% | 17.0% | 19.2% | 25.3% | 16.9% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Mitchell Owen | 2.7% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 18.1% | 24.0% | 25.4% | 14.3% |
| Abraham Kipnis | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 17.4% | 24.5% | 23.4% | 19.4% |
| Griffin Brayer | 2.5% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 9.1% | 16.2% | 23.6% | 22.3% | 18.2% |
| Sarah Woodward | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 13.7% | 24.2% | 47.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.