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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.53+1.68vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University0.96+1.99vs Predicted
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3Marquette University1.26+0.09vs Predicted
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4University of Chicago0.10+1.18vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-0.99+2.25vs Predicted
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6Marquette University0.21-1.04vs Predicted
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7Grand Valley State University-0.85-0.36vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan0.02-2.60vs Predicted
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9Michigan Technological University-0.17-3.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.68University of Wisconsin1.5330.0%1st Place
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3.99Michigan Technological University0.9613.5%1st Place
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3.09Marquette University1.2623.6%1st Place
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5.18University of Chicago0.107.8%1st Place
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7.25Purdue University-0.992.4%1st Place
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4.96Marquette University0.217.9%1st Place
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6.64Grand Valley State University-0.853.6%1st Place
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5.4University of Michigan0.026.7%1st Place
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5.81Michigan Technological University-0.174.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Pickhardt | 30.0% | 22.9% | 19.9% | 12.4% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Michels | 13.5% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 15.8% | 15.6% | 12.2% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Eric Brieden | 23.6% | 21.1% | 17.9% | 15.7% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Alex Strassberg Alonso | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 11.8% | 7.0% |
| Silas Hokanson | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 12.9% | 20.1% | 40.0% |
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 7.9% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 15.6% | 13.9% | 16.2% | 9.2% | 4.2% |
| Carly Irwin | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 22.6% | 26.2% |
| Rachel Ward | 6.7% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 8.8% |
| Cecilia Dietsch | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 15.5% | 15.8% | 15.7% | 12.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.