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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.39+2.24vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.27+1.46vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.94-0.46vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.22-1.77vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University-0.40+0.82vs Predicted
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6Wesleyan University-0.55+0.01vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-1.33-0.05vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.41-2.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.24Salve Regina University1.390.2%1st Place
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3.46Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
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2.54University of Rhode Island1.940.3%1st Place
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2.23Brown University2.220.4%1st Place
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5.82Fairfield University-0.400.0%1st Place
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6.01Wesleyan University-0.550.0%1st Place
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6.95University of Connecticut-1.330.0%1st Place
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5.75University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline King | 15.2% | 19.3% | 22.6% | 22.5% | 12.0% | 6.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Evan Robison | 13.6% | 15.5% | 19.6% | 25.3% | 16.4% | 7.4% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schryver | 27.7% | 26.1% | 21.9% | 15.6% | 6.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jed Bell | 35.9% | 27.0% | 21.2% | 11.3% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Owen | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 18.5% | 23.6% | 26.0% | 14.1% |
| Abraham Kipnis | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 17.0% | 22.1% | 26.4% | 19.2% |
| Sarah Woodward | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 7.1% | 11.8% | 21.2% | 52.4% |
| Griffin Brayer | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 8.8% | 18.7% | 26.2% | 22.0% | 14.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.