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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.94+1.53vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.22+0.24vs Predicted
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3Wesleyan University-0.55+2.97vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.39-0.70vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.27-1.53vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-0.40-0.23vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-1.33-0.04vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.41-2.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.53University of Rhode Island1.940.3%1st Place
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2.24Brown University2.220.4%1st Place
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5.97Wesleyan University-0.550.0%1st Place
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3.3Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
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3.47Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
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5.77Fairfield University-0.400.0%1st Place
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6.96University of Connecticut-1.330.0%1st Place
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5.77University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Schryver | 27.5% | 27.5% | 22.5% | 13.1% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jed Bell | 35.8% | 27.8% | 19.3% | 11.4% | 5.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Kipnis | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 13.1% | 23.1% | 28.5% | 17.5% |
| Caroline King | 14.8% | 18.0% | 20.3% | 26.0% | 13.8% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Evan Robison | 13.3% | 15.4% | 22.0% | 22.9% | 16.2% | 7.7% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Mitchell Owen | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 18.2% | 25.3% | 22.6% | 14.9% |
| Sarah Woodward | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 7.1% | 11.3% | 21.3% | 52.8% |
| Griffin Brayer | 2.2% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 20.2% | 24.5% | 23.0% | 14.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.