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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.02+1.31vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.94+1.79vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.16-0.81vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University0.64+0.22vs Predicted
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5Brown University0.78-0.95vs Predicted
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6Wesleyan University-0.26-0.62vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.11-0.63vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut-2.86-0.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.31University of Rhode Island2.020.3%1st Place
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3.79Salve Regina University0.940.1%1st Place
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2.19Tufts University2.160.4%1st Place
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4.22Fairfield University0.640.1%1st Place
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4.05Brown University0.780.1%1st Place
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5.38Wesleyan University-0.260.0%1st Place
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6.37University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.110.0%1st Place
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7.68University of Connecticut-2.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kylie Castellano | 33.9% | 28.1% | 19.8% | 11.5% | 5.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Evans | 9.8% | 12.9% | 20.1% | 22.0% | 19.1% | 13.1% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Ryutaro Sochi | 35.9% | 30.8% | 17.9% | 10.6% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lillian Vincens | 7.6% | 10.4% | 14.5% | 18.8% | 24.9% | 16.8% | 6.3% | 0.7% |
| Emma Montgomery | 7.4% | 12.2% | 17.6% | 20.9% | 20.1% | 17.0% | 4.3% | 0.5% |
| Simon Rothman | 3.2% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 11.6% | 18.5% | 30.3% | 23.3% | 3.1% |
| Benjamin Xu | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 17.9% | 51.0% | 13.4% |
| Maxwell Miller | 0.1% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 11.7% | 82.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.