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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.16+1.17vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.02+0.36vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University0.64+1.20vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University0.94-0.20vs Predicted
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5Wesleyan University-0.26+0.43vs Predicted
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6Brown University0.78-2.05vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.11-0.60vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut-2.86-0.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.17Tufts University2.160.4%1st Place
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2.36University of Rhode Island2.020.3%1st Place
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4.2Fairfield University0.640.1%1st Place
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3.8Salve Regina University0.940.1%1st Place
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5.43Wesleyan University-0.260.0%1st Place
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3.95Brown University0.780.1%1st Place
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6.4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.110.0%1st Place
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7.7University of Connecticut-2.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryutaro Sochi | 37.7% | 28.1% | 19.6% | 10.2% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kylie Castellano | 30.3% | 29.6% | 21.7% | 11.8% | 5.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lillian Vincens | 8.2% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 20.7% | 23.1% | 17.9% | 6.1% | 0.3% |
| Jeffrey Evans | 9.4% | 14.6% | 18.4% | 21.1% | 20.6% | 12.7% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Simon Rothman | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 10.0% | 17.7% | 33.0% | 24.2% | 2.4% |
| Emma Montgomery | 9.5% | 11.3% | 18.2% | 20.8% | 21.2% | 14.4% | 4.2% | 0.4% |
| Benjamin Xu | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 16.8% | 51.6% | 13.6% |
| Maxwell Miller | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 3.2% | 10.6% | 83.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.