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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.64+3.30vs Predicted
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2Brown University0.78+2.14vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.16-0.78vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University0.94-0.10vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.02-2.64vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.11+0.78vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-1.01-0.33vs Predicted
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8Wesleyan University-0.26-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.3Fairfield University0.640.1%1st Place
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4.14Brown University0.780.1%1st Place
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2.22Tufts University2.160.4%1st Place
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3.9Salve Regina University0.940.1%1st Place
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2.36University of Rhode Island2.020.3%1st Place
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6.78University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.110.0%1st Place
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6.67University of Connecticut-1.010.0%1st Place
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5.62Wesleyan University-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lillian Vincens | 7.2% | 10.7% | 14.8% | 18.0% | 23.5% | 15.3% | 8.4% | 2.1% |
| Emma Montgomery | 8.7% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 19.9% | 22.0% | 13.9% | 7.8% | 1.2% |
| Ryutaro Sochi | 35.2% | 30.0% | 20.1% | 9.1% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Evans | 10.3% | 12.6% | 17.4% | 21.3% | 19.4% | 14.0% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Kylie Castellano | 32.6% | 26.8% | 20.5% | 13.7% | 5.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Xu | 1.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 14.9% | 28.0% | 42.5% |
| Colby Brennan | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 12.7% | 27.7% | 41.1% |
| Simon Rothman | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 14.5% | 26.5% | 23.9% | 11.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.