← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University0.78+3.07vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island2.02+0.40vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University2.16-0.80vs Predicted
-
4Fairfield University0.64+0.33vs Predicted
-
5Salve Regina University0.94-1.09vs Predicted
-
6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.11+0.75vs Predicted
-
7Wesleyan University-0.26-1.27vs Predicted
-
8University of Connecticut-1.01-1.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.07Brown University0.780.1%1st Place
-
2.4University of Rhode Island2.020.3%1st Place
-
2.2Tufts University2.160.4%1st Place
-
4.33Fairfield University0.640.1%1st Place
-
3.91Salve Regina University0.940.1%1st Place
-
6.75University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.110.0%1st Place
-
5.73Wesleyan University-0.260.0%1st Place
-
6.62University of Connecticut-1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Montgomery | 8.8% | 11.8% | 16.8% | 20.4% | 20.5% | 12.9% | 7.4% | 1.4% |
| Kylie Castellano | 31.4% | 28.0% | 19.7% | 13.4% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryutaro Sochi | 37.4% | 28.7% | 17.9% | 10.0% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lillian Vincens | 7.8% | 10.1% | 13.9% | 19.0% | 21.1% | 17.9% | 7.7% | 2.5% |
| Jeffrey Evans | 8.8% | 13.4% | 19.9% | 19.2% | 20.1% | 13.3% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Benjamin Xu | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 14.0% | 24.9% | 44.1% |
| Simon Rothman | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 14.3% | 23.3% | 24.2% | 15.8% |
| Colby Brennan | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 15.4% | 31.5% | 34.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.