← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island2.02+1.35vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University2.16+0.25vs Predicted
-
3Brown University0.78+1.15vs Predicted
-
4Fairfield University0.64+0.35vs Predicted
-
5Salve Regina University0.94-1.11vs Predicted
-
6Wesleyan University-0.26-0.38vs Predicted
-
7University of Connecticut-1.01-0.32vs Predicted
-
8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.11-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.35University of Rhode Island2.020.3%1st Place
-
2.25Tufts University2.160.3%1st Place
-
4.15Brown University0.780.1%1st Place
-
4.35Fairfield University0.640.1%1st Place
-
3.89Salve Regina University0.940.1%1st Place
-
5.62Wesleyan University-0.260.0%1st Place
-
6.68University of Connecticut-1.010.0%1st Place
-
6.72University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kylie Castellano | 33.4% | 27.4% | 20.3% | 11.6% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ryutaro Sochi | 34.5% | 30.2% | 17.8% | 12.4% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Montgomery | 8.8% | 11.5% | 15.2% | 19.6% | 20.6% | 15.5% | 6.9% | 1.9% |
| Lillian Vincens | 7.0% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 18.9% | 21.5% | 16.8% | 8.8% | 2.4% |
| Jeffrey Evans | 9.6% | 13.0% | 20.7% | 18.7% | 18.4% | 13.9% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Simon Rothman | 3.6% | 3.3% | 6.4% | 10.4% | 16.7% | 23.4% | 22.5% | 13.7% |
| Colby Brennan | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 12.9% | 28.4% | 40.3% |
| Benjamin Xu | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 14.7% | 28.4% | 40.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.