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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.16+1.20vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.02+0.40vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.94+0.88vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University0.64+0.36vs Predicted
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5Brown University0.78-0.88vs Predicted
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6Wesleyan University-0.26-0.35vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-1.01-0.32vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.11-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2Tufts University2.160.4%1st Place
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2.4University of Rhode Island2.020.3%1st Place
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3.88Salve Regina University0.940.1%1st Place
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4.36Fairfield University0.640.1%1st Place
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4.12Brown University0.780.1%1st Place
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5.65Wesleyan University-0.260.0%1st Place
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6.68University of Connecticut-1.010.0%1st Place
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6.72University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryutaro Sochi | 38.0% | 27.9% | 18.2% | 10.2% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kylie Castellano | 30.7% | 28.6% | 20.0% | 13.7% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Evans | 10.6% | 12.7% | 17.8% | 21.6% | 18.9% | 12.3% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Lillian Vincens | 6.5% | 10.8% | 14.5% | 18.1% | 22.3% | 16.5% | 8.9% | 2.4% |
| Emma Montgomery | 7.9% | 12.6% | 17.9% | 17.3% | 19.6% | 16.6% | 6.4% | 1.7% |
| Simon Rothman | 3.4% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 10.2% | 16.5% | 24.0% | 22.9% | 13.6% |
| Colby Brennan | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 12.8% | 28.4% | 40.3% |
| Benjamin Xu | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 14.9% | 28.1% | 40.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.