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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College2.29+2.47vs Predicted
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2Georgia Institute of Technology1.64+2.41vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.40+0.33vs Predicted
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4Clemson University1.85+0.16vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston4.11-3.48vs Predicted
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6Auburn University1.12-0.83vs Predicted
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8American University0.36-2.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.47Washington College2.290.1%1st Place
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4.41Georgia Institute of Technology1.640.0%1st Place
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3.33College of Charleston2.400.1%1st Place
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4.16Clemson University1.850.1%1st Place
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1.52College of Charleston4.110.6%1st Place
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5.17Auburn University1.120.0%1st Place
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5.96American University0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mildred Conroy | 10.8% | 19.6% | 23.6% | 19.2% | 14.7% | 9.2% | 2.9% |
| Andrew Battigaglia | 4.4% | 10.4% | 15.3% | 18.9% | 21.9% | 19.3% | 9.8% |
| Carly Shevitz | 11.2% | 21.8% | 23.6% | 21.3% | 13.6% | 5.8% | 2.7% |
| Alexander Smolka | 6.0% | 13.5% | 15.4% | 20.0% | 20.9% | 17.3% | 6.9% |
| Christopher Banholzer | 63.4% | 25.2% | 7.9% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Hodges | 2.5% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 19.0% | 28.7% | 23.1% |
| Bryan Schapperle | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 19.7% | 54.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.