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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University1.26+2.02vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.53+0.67vs Predicted
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3Grand Valley State University-0.85+3.83vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University0.96+0.01vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago0.10+0.15vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University-0.17-0.27vs Predicted
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7Marquette University0.21-2.03vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan0.02-2.64vs Predicted
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9Purdue University-0.99-1.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.02Marquette University1.2624.1%1st Place
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2.67University of Wisconsin1.5329.2%1st Place
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6.83Grand Valley State University-0.852.5%1st Place
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4.01Michigan Technological University0.9613.2%1st Place
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5.15University of Chicago0.107.0%1st Place
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5.73Michigan Technological University-0.175.5%1st Place
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4.97Marquette University0.2110.0%1st Place
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5.36University of Michigan0.026.5%1st Place
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7.26Purdue University-0.992.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Brieden | 24.1% | 22.6% | 17.7% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Adam Pickhardt | 29.2% | 24.5% | 20.2% | 12.4% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Carly Irwin | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 14.9% | 22.4% | 28.1% |
| Andrew Michels | 13.2% | 14.4% | 16.0% | 17.0% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
| Alex Strassberg Alonso | 7.0% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 5.9% |
| Cecilia Dietsch | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 16.3% | 15.6% | 11.7% |
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 15.4% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 5.5% |
| Rachel Ward | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 15.1% | 12.4% | 8.0% |
| Silas Hokanson | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 20.3% | 39.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.