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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.96+2.98vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.53+0.67vs Predicted
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3Marquette University1.26+0.01vs Predicted
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4Marquette University0.21+1.04vs Predicted
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5Grand Valley State University-0.85+1.68vs Predicted
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6University of Chicago0.10-0.83vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan0.02-1.60vs Predicted
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8Purdue University-0.99-0.77vs Predicted
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9Michigan Technological University-0.17-3.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.98Michigan Technological University0.9614.4%1st Place
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2.67University of Wisconsin1.5330.2%1st Place
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3.01Marquette University1.2623.9%1st Place
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5.04Marquette University0.216.7%1st Place
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6.68Grand Valley State University-0.853.2%1st Place
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5.17University of Chicago0.107.1%1st Place
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5.4University of Michigan0.027.2%1st Place
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7.23Purdue University-0.992.6%1st Place
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5.81Michigan Technological University-0.174.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Michels | 14.4% | 14.7% | 14.8% | 16.0% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Adam Pickhardt | 30.2% | 24.5% | 18.0% | 12.3% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Eric Brieden | 23.9% | 23.1% | 18.4% | 14.2% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 6.7% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 15.8% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 10.1% | 5.0% |
| Carly Irwin | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 21.1% | 27.9% |
| Alex Strassberg Alonso | 7.1% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 6.5% |
| Rachel Ward | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 8.0% |
| Silas Hokanson | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 12.2% | 20.1% | 40.2% |
| Cecilia Dietsch | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 17.2% | 16.4% | 11.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.