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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.53+1.60vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University0.96+2.06vs Predicted
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3Marquette University1.26+0.09vs Predicted
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4Marquette University0.21+0.89vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago0.10+0.20vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan0.02-0.62vs Predicted
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7Grand Valley State University-0.85-0.20vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University-0.17-2.25vs Predicted
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9Purdue University-0.99-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.6University of Wisconsin1.5333.1%1st Place
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4.06Michigan Technological University0.9612.5%1st Place
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3.09Marquette University1.2622.4%1st Place
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4.89Marquette University0.218.7%1st Place
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5.2University of Chicago0.107.1%1st Place
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5.38University of Michigan0.026.6%1st Place
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6.8Grand Valley State University-0.852.8%1st Place
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5.75Michigan Technological University-0.175.1%1st Place
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7.24Purdue University-0.991.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Pickhardt | 33.1% | 23.8% | 17.0% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Michels | 12.5% | 14.5% | 14.9% | 16.3% | 16.0% | 12.7% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Eric Brieden | 22.4% | 22.2% | 19.9% | 14.2% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 8.7% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 15.3% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 4.2% |
| Alex Strassberg Alonso | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 13.1% | 5.9% |
| Rachel Ward | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 8.3% |
| Carly Irwin | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 15.8% | 22.8% | 27.6% |
| Cecilia Dietsch | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 15.7% | 16.0% | 11.7% |
| Silas Hokanson | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 18.9% | 40.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.