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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University1.26+2.04vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University0.96+2.05vs Predicted
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3Marquette University0.21+1.96vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.53-1.36vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan0.02+0.36vs Predicted
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6University of Chicago0.10-0.80vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University-0.17-1.25vs Predicted
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8Grand Valley State University-0.85-1.26vs Predicted
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9Purdue University-0.99-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.04Marquette University1.2622.9%1st Place
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4.05Michigan Technological University0.9612.8%1st Place
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4.96Marquette University0.217.9%1st Place
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2.64University of Wisconsin1.5330.9%1st Place
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5.36University of Michigan0.027.5%1st Place
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5.2University of Chicago0.107.1%1st Place
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5.75Michigan Technological University-0.175.8%1st Place
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6.74Grand Valley State University-0.853.4%1st Place
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7.25Purdue University-0.991.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Brieden | 22.9% | 21.8% | 20.0% | 14.9% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Michels | 12.8% | 15.0% | 16.5% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 7.9% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 15.3% | 13.9% | 10.3% | 4.5% |
| Adam Pickhardt | 30.9% | 24.1% | 17.5% | 13.3% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Ward | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 8.5% |
| Alex Strassberg Alonso | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 12.9% | 14.9% | 14.3% | 15.2% | 12.6% | 5.5% |
| Cecilia Dietsch | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 17.2% | 16.2% | 11.6% |
| Carly Irwin | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 21.3% | 28.5% |
| Silas Hokanson | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 20.3% | 39.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.