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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.40+2.32vs Predicted
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2Washington College2.29+1.48vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston4.11-1.51vs Predicted
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4Clemson University1.85+0.15vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology1.64-0.52vs Predicted
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6Auburn University1.12-0.87vs Predicted
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7American University0.36-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.32College of Charleston2.400.1%1st Place
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3.48Washington College2.290.1%1st Place
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1.49College of Charleston4.110.6%1st Place
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4.15Clemson University1.850.1%1st Place
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4.48Georgia Institute of Technology1.640.0%1st Place
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5.13Auburn University1.120.0%1st Place
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5.95American University0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carly Shevitz | 11.2% | 24.8% | 22.4% | 17.5% | 13.1% | 8.8% | 2.2% |
| Mildred Conroy | 9.9% | 18.6% | 24.4% | 21.4% | 14.4% | 8.7% | 2.6% |
| Christopher Banholzer | 63.6% | 26.4% | 7.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Smolka | 5.7% | 12.2% | 17.9% | 19.4% | 21.4% | 17.1% | 6.3% |
| Andrew Battigaglia | 4.4% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 20.1% | 22.1% | 19.9% | 10.5% |
| Samuel Hodges | 3.3% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 13.4% | 18.3% | 27.2% | 23.4% |
| Bryan Schapperle | 1.9% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 10.4% | 18.2% | 55.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.