← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northwestern University0.71+3.20vs Predicted
-
2Purdue University0.61+2.45vs Predicted
-
3Marquette University0.49+1.75vs Predicted
-
4University of Toledo-0.26+2.24vs Predicted
-
5Vanderbilt University0.44-0.26vs Predicted
-
6University of Michigan1.32-2.99vs Predicted
-
7Ohio State University0.05-1.36vs Predicted
-
8University of Notre Dame0.45-3.29vs Predicted
-
10Western Michigan University-1.30-1.88vs Predicted
-
11Miami University-2.16-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.2Northwestern University0.710.1%1st Place
-
4.45Purdue University0.610.1%1st Place
-
4.75Marquette University0.490.1%1st Place
-
6.24University of Toledo-0.260.0%1st Place
-
4.74Vanderbilt University0.440.1%1st Place
-
3.01University of Michigan1.320.3%1st Place
-
5.64Ohio State University0.050.1%1st Place
-
4.71University of Notre Dame0.450.1%1st Place
-
8.12Western Michigan University-1.300.0%1st Place
-
9.15Miami University-2.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Moore | 14.7% | 15.9% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Rishab Nayar | 12.7% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Solomon Dworsky | 11.5% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 0.7% |
| Brian Pribe | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 15.9% | 19.4% | 13.9% | 4.7% |
| Madeleine Nystrom | 11.0% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 9.6% | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| Allison Marozza | 26.5% | 20.7% | 18.6% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Tony Prenger | 5.4% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 17.0% | 9.2% | 2.0% |
| Peter Pillari | 11.3% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 5.1% | 0.4% |
| David Resnick | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 13.7% | 37.1% | 25.3% |
| Jack Brownlee | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 18.1% | 65.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.