← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Connor Goulet 27.6% 20.7% 16.0% 11.2% 10.5% 6.8% 4.4% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
Solomon Dworsky 10.5% 12.1% 13.4% 11.7% 12.5% 12.2% 13.0% 8.9% 5.0% 0.7%
Rishab Nayar 13.1% 12.2% 12.0% 12.8% 13.9% 13.5% 11.0% 8.0% 3.2% 0.3%
Madeleine Nystrom 9.4% 11.9% 13.6% 11.5% 13.9% 13.1% 12.5% 9.4% 4.1% 0.6%
Brian Pribe 5.4% 7.1% 6.9% 7.8% 8.4% 10.5% 13.9% 21.8% 13.6% 4.6%
Mitchell Moore 15.1% 13.0% 13.9% 15.9% 12.1% 10.9% 9.7% 6.8% 2.3% 0.3%
Peter Pillari 9.2% 12.6% 12.0% 14.3% 12.1% 13.6% 12.6% 9.5% 3.6% 0.5%
Tony Prenger 7.2% 8.3% 8.9% 10.1% 11.9% 11.4% 14.0% 15.1% 11.2% 1.9%
Joshua Spano 1.7% 1.2% 2.7% 3.7% 2.4% 5.5% 5.9% 13.3% 36.4% 27.2%
Jack Brownlee 0.8% 0.9% 0.6% 1.0% 2.3% 2.5% 3.0% 5.3% 19.9% 63.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.