← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Michigan1.28+2.09vs Predicted
-
2Northwestern University0.71+2.23vs Predicted
-
3Purdue University0.61+1.48vs Predicted
-
4University of Notre Dame0.45+0.73vs Predicted
-
5Vanderbilt University0.44-0.27vs Predicted
-
6Marquette University0.49-1.36vs Predicted
-
7University of Toledo-0.26-0.75vs Predicted
-
8Ohio State University0.05-2.44vs Predicted
-
9Miami University-2.16+0.13vs Predicted
-
11Western Michigan University-1.37-2.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.09University of Michigan1.280.3%1st Place
-
4.23Northwestern University0.710.1%1st Place
-
4.48Purdue University0.610.1%1st Place
-
4.73University of Notre Dame0.450.1%1st Place
-
4.73Vanderbilt University0.440.1%1st Place
-
4.64Marquette University0.490.1%1st Place
-
6.25University of Toledo-0.260.0%1st Place
-
5.56Ohio State University0.050.1%1st Place
-
9.13Miami University-2.160.0%1st Place
-
8.15Western Michigan University-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Goulet | 26.9% | 20.3% | 17.3% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Moore | 12.7% | 15.1% | 15.1% | 14.2% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Rishab Nayar | 12.6% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 15.7% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Peter Pillari | 9.6% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 4.5% | 0.6% |
| Madeleine Nystrom | 11.9% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 14.4% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 4.9% | 0.9% |
| Solomon Dworsky | 12.8% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 4.9% | 0.7% |
| Brian Pribe | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 15.7% | 19.0% | 15.2% | 4.0% |
| Tony Prenger | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 16.0% | 9.5% | 2.1% |
| Jack Brownlee | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 18.9% | 64.5% |
| Joshua Spano | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 12.7% | 36.4% | 26.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.