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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College2.29+2.41vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston4.11-0.48vs Predicted
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3Georgia Institute of Technology1.64+1.44vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.40-1.61vs Predicted
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6Auburn University1.12-0.82vs Predicted
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7Clemson University1.85-2.86vs Predicted
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8American University0.36-2.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.41Washington College2.290.1%1st Place
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1.52College of Charleston4.110.6%1st Place
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4.44Georgia Institute of Technology1.640.1%1st Place
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3.39College of Charleston2.400.1%1st Place
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5.18Auburn University1.120.0%1st Place
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4.14Clemson University1.850.1%1st Place
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5.92American University0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mildred Conroy | 10.4% | 22.3% | 23.0% | 17.8% | 15.7% | 8.1% | 2.7% |
| Christopher Banholzer | 63.5% | 25.5% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Battigaglia | 5.8% | 8.4% | 14.3% | 20.0% | 21.1% | 19.6% | 10.8% |
| Carly Shevitz | 10.8% | 20.9% | 23.7% | 18.8% | 16.2% | 8.2% | 1.4% |
| Samuel Hodges | 2.1% | 5.6% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 17.6% | 28.9% | 23.2% |
| Alexander Smolka | 5.4% | 13.6% | 17.0% | 20.7% | 19.3% | 17.0% | 7.0% |
| Bryan Schapperle | 2.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 18.0% | 54.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.