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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.96+3.08vs Predicted
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2Marquette University0.21+2.97vs Predicted
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3Marquette University1.26-0.07vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.53-1.32vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago0.10+0.17vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan0.02-0.66vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University-0.17-1.19vs Predicted
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8Purdue University-0.99-0.73vs Predicted
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9Grand Valley State University-0.85-2.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.08Michigan Technological University0.9612.5%1st Place
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4.97Marquette University0.218.6%1st Place
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2.93Marquette University1.2624.3%1st Place
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2.68University of Wisconsin1.5329.8%1st Place
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5.17University of Chicago0.107.3%1st Place
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5.34University of Michigan0.026.9%1st Place
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5.81Michigan Technological University-0.175.0%1st Place
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7.27Purdue University-0.992.2%1st Place
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6.75Grand Valley State University-0.853.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Michels | 12.5% | 13.6% | 16.7% | 15.7% | 15.8% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 16.6% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 5.2% |
| Eric Brieden | 24.3% | 23.6% | 18.6% | 14.8% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Adam Pickhardt | 29.8% | 23.1% | 20.0% | 13.6% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alex Strassberg Alonso | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 6.6% |
| Rachel Ward | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 15.7% | 16.4% | 14.0% | 6.1% |
| Cecilia Dietsch | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 17.2% | 15.4% | 12.2% |
| Silas Hokanson | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 20.3% | 41.6% |
| Carly Irwin | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 14.6% | 23.2% | 26.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.