← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Michigan2.03+0.67vs Predicted
-
2University of Notre Dame1.04+0.86vs Predicted
-
3Ohio State University-0.80+2.65vs Predicted
-
4Western Michigan University-1.27+2.29vs Predicted
-
5University of Toledo-1.35+1.37vs Predicted
-
6Purdue University0.31-2.31vs Predicted
-
7Northwestern University-0.83-1.31vs Predicted
-
8Marquette University-0.29-3.26vs Predicted
-
10Miami University-2.54-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.67University of Michigan2.030.6%1st Place
-
2.86University of Notre Dame1.040.2%1st Place
-
5.65Ohio State University-0.800.0%1st Place
-
6.29Western Michigan University-1.270.0%1st Place
-
6.37University of Toledo-1.350.0%1st Place
-
3.69Purdue University0.310.1%1st Place
-
5.69Northwestern University-0.830.0%1st Place
-
4.74Marquette University-0.290.1%1st Place
-
8.05Miami University-2.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jenna Probst | 57.1% | 27.0% | 10.7% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Szymanski | 17.1% | 29.2% | 24.5% | 15.7% | 8.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| natalie dugan | 3.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 18.1% | 18.4% | 15.7% | 4.7% |
| Matthew Otenbaker | 1.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 17.7% | 24.7% | 10.6% |
| Benjamin Riley | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 15.3% | 17.9% | 21.6% | 14.9% |
| Mehmet Karatoprak | 9.3% | 16.9% | 21.9% | 21.5% | 15.5% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Guilherme Vendemiatti | 3.2% | 4.7% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 15.6% | 19.2% | 18.7% | 14.5% | 5.6% |
| Karl Wagerson | 5.8% | 8.7% | 14.5% | 16.1% | 17.8% | 16.0% | 12.9% | 6.6% | 1.6% |
| Elliott Bates | 0.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 15.7% | 62.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.