← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Michigan2.03+0.66vs Predicted
-
2University of Notre Dame1.04+0.85vs Predicted
-
3Purdue University0.31+0.78vs Predicted
-
4Marquette University-0.29+0.64vs Predicted
-
5Northwestern University-0.83+0.52vs Predicted
-
6University of Toledo-1.35+0.49vs Predicted
-
7Ohio State University-0.80-1.36vs Predicted
-
8Western Michigan University-1.27-1.63vs Predicted
-
9Miami University-2.54-0.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.66University of Michigan2.030.6%1st Place
-
2.85University of Notre Dame1.040.2%1st Place
-
3.78Purdue University0.310.1%1st Place
-
4.64Marquette University-0.290.1%1st Place
-
5.52Northwestern University-0.830.0%1st Place
-
6.49University of Toledo-1.350.0%1st Place
-
5.64Ohio State University-0.800.0%1st Place
-
6.37Western Michigan University-1.270.0%1st Place
-
8.05Miami University-2.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jenna Probst | 58.2% | 25.4% | 10.4% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Szymanski | 17.1% | 30.1% | 25.1% | 13.8% | 8.5% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mehmet Karatoprak | 9.1% | 15.7% | 22.0% | 19.9% | 16.2% | 10.8% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Karl Wagerson | 5.4% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 20.9% | 18.0% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 6.2% | 1.2% |
| Guilherme Vendemiatti | 3.4% | 5.1% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 15.3% | 17.4% | 17.0% | 12.6% | 6.4% |
| Benjamin Riley | 1.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 14.5% | 18.2% | 26.5% | 13.0% |
| natalie dugan | 2.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 12.1% | 14.9% | 19.8% | 18.8% | 13.9% | 4.9% |
| Matthew Otenbaker | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 20.0% | 22.8% | 12.9% |
| Elliott Bates | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 16.3% | 61.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.