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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan2.03+0.69vs Predicted
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2Marquette University-0.29+2.88vs Predicted
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3Purdue University0.31+0.75vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame1.04-1.36vs Predicted
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6University of Toledo-1.35+0.35vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-0.83-1.38vs Predicted
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8Miami University-2.54+0.11vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University-0.80-3.38vs Predicted
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10Western Michigan University-1.27-3.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.69University of Michigan2.030.6%1st Place
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4.88Marquette University-0.290.0%1st Place
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3.75Purdue University0.310.1%1st Place
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2.64University of Notre Dame1.040.2%1st Place
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6.35University of Toledo-1.350.0%1st Place
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5.62Northwestern University-0.830.0%1st Place
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8.11Miami University-2.540.0%1st Place
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5.62Ohio State University-0.800.0%1st Place
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6.35Western Michigan University-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jenna Probst | 55.1% | 27.9% | 11.8% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Wagerson | 3.9% | 7.6% | 12.8% | 19.9% | 17.8% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 7.4% | 1.6% |
| Mehmet Karatoprak | 8.9% | 16.8% | 19.6% | 20.6% | 19.5% | 9.7% | 4.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Szymanski | 21.5% | 30.2% | 25.6% | 12.6% | 7.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Riley | 1.7% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 18.2% | 23.4% | 12.8% |
| Guilherme Vendemiatti | 3.2% | 3.9% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 19.0% | 18.8% | 14.8% | 4.2% |
| Elliott Bates | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 15.2% | 63.7% |
| natalie dugan | 2.8% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 15.2% | 19.6% | 16.8% | 13.8% | 6.2% |
| Matthew Otenbaker | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 16.8% | 18.8% | 24.7% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.