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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan2.03+0.68vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame1.04+0.87vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-0.29+1.74vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.83+1.52vs Predicted
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5Purdue University0.31-1.30vs Predicted
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6University of Toledo-1.35+0.46vs Predicted
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8Miami University-2.54+0.11vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University-0.80-3.39vs Predicted
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10Western Michigan University-1.27-3.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.68University of Michigan2.030.6%1st Place
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2.87University of Notre Dame1.040.2%1st Place
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4.74Marquette University-0.290.0%1st Place
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5.52Northwestern University-0.830.0%1st Place
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3.7Purdue University0.310.1%1st Place
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6.46University of Toledo-1.350.0%1st Place
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8.11Miami University-2.540.0%1st Place
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5.61Ohio State University-0.800.0%1st Place
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6.31Western Michigan University-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jenna Probst | 56.5% | 27.0% | 10.1% | 5.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Szymanski | 16.6% | 30.0% | 23.8% | 15.4% | 9.4% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Karl Wagerson | 4.7% | 7.8% | 14.7% | 17.7% | 18.9% | 17.5% | 11.7% | 6.0% | 1.0% |
| Guilherme Vendemiatti | 2.7% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 13.8% | 16.3% | 17.9% | 15.7% | 13.5% | 5.5% |
| Mehmet Karatoprak | 11.4% | 16.9% | 22.4% | 17.3% | 14.7% | 9.8% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Benjamin Riley | 1.6% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 22.1% | 23.9% | 12.7% |
| Elliott Bates | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 8.1% | 16.2% | 63.1% |
| natalie dugan | 3.4% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 16.5% | 16.7% | 17.9% | 14.2% | 5.8% |
| Matthew Otenbaker | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 17.5% | 18.4% | 23.6% | 11.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.