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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.93+0.91vs Predicted
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2University of Toledo-1.35+4.92vs Predicted
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3Purdue University0.31+1.14vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University-0.80+1.79vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan0.68-1.57vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-1.27+0.60vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-0.29-1.94vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame1.04-4.99vs Predicted
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10Miami University-2.54-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.91Northwestern University1.930.5%1st Place
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6.92University of Toledo-1.350.0%1st Place
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4.14Purdue University0.310.1%1st Place
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5.79Ohio State University-0.800.0%1st Place
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3.43University of Michigan0.680.2%1st Place
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6.6Western Michigan University-1.270.0%1st Place
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5.06Marquette University-0.290.1%1st Place
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3.01University of Notre Dame1.040.2%1st Place
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8.15Miami University-2.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryder Easterlin | 46.5% | 29.2% | 14.7% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Riley | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 8.5% | 13.3% | 21.7% | 29.2% | 17.0% |
| Mehmet Karatoprak | 7.2% | 13.3% | 16.4% | 20.8% | 19.6% | 12.3% | 7.6% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| natalie dugan | 2.4% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 19.6% | 20.6% | 16.5% | 4.6% |
| Will Neubauer | 15.7% | 17.3% | 21.6% | 19.1% | 12.8% | 8.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Otenbaker | 1.7% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 24.0% | 26.2% | 11.8% |
| Karl Wagerson | 5.2% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 14.3% | 18.9% | 22.4% | 13.5% | 7.2% | 2.3% |
| Thomas Szymanski | 19.6% | 22.3% | 22.7% | 18.2% | 10.5% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Elliott Bates | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 16.5% | 64.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.