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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame1.04+1.99vs Predicted
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2Marquette University-0.29+3.25vs Predicted
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4Purdue University0.31+0.10vs Predicted
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5University of Toledo-1.35+1.66vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-1.27+0.48vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University1.93-5.11vs Predicted
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8Miami University-2.54+0.20vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University-0.80-3.07vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan0.68-6.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.99University of Notre Dame1.040.2%1st Place
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5.25Marquette University-0.290.0%1st Place
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4.1Purdue University0.310.1%1st Place
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6.66University of Toledo-1.350.0%1st Place
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6.48Western Michigan University-1.270.0%1st Place
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1.89Northwestern University1.930.5%1st Place
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8.2Miami University-2.540.0%1st Place
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5.93Ohio State University-0.800.0%1st Place
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3.5University of Michigan0.680.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Szymanski | 18.2% | 24.1% | 22.8% | 19.7% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Karl Wagerson | 3.5% | 6.0% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 21.2% | 19.6% | 16.7% | 9.2% | 2.0% |
| Mehmet Karatoprak | 8.7% | 12.9% | 18.2% | 16.7% | 19.2% | 14.7% | 7.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Benjamin Riley | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 13.6% | 22.7% | 28.9% | 12.3% |
| Matthew Otenbaker | 1.4% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 18.9% | 27.1% | 11.6% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 47.8% | 28.4% | 13.9% | 7.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Bates | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 66.2% |
| natalie dugan | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 13.4% | 19.0% | 20.6% | 17.3% | 7.3% |
| Will Neubauer | 14.0% | 17.7% | 19.8% | 21.0% | 13.4% | 9.7% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.